Little bit of a break after a great cup weekend, and of course before I move on let’s look at match day 21, and there were 2 out 5 matches predicted, so not so good with the new model.

Running total is 44 correct predictions out of 97 predictions made.

Okay on to match day 22 let’s see into this weekends fixtures.

**Drogheda (38%) vs Waterford (36%)**The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Waterford is 25%

Drogheda (1.25xG) vs Waterford (0.7xG)

So the Blues are back on the road, and in this case I’d be more hoping for a draw, but it looks like a Drogs home win.

Next up we have a top of the table clash.

**Shamrock Rovers (49%) vs St. Patricks (23%)**The Probability of a Draw between Shamrock Rovers and St. Patricks is 27%

Shamrock Rovers (1.53xG) vs St. Patricks (1.48xG)

These big matches have a tendency for a draw, but will stick the neck out and go for a home win for Rovers.

**Longford (22%) vs Derry City (53%)**The Probability of a Draw between Longford and Derry City is 24%

Longford (0.70xG) vs Derry City (0.86xG)

A shortened LOI campaign this weekend and so this last match with go to Derry City.