Match day 5 review and got 2 predictions out of 5, and going a bit mad that I didn’t stick with the system selection of Sligo Rovers over Finn Harps.
The running total is 6 out of 25.
Now in to match day 6 predictions
Drogheda (18%) vs Shamrock Rovers (58%)
The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Shamrock Rovers is 23%
The number of sim home wins for Drogheda is = 1
The number of sim away wins for Shamrock Rovers is = 5
The number of sim draw is = 4
Drogheda (1.24xG) vs Shamrock Rovers (0.72xG)
Going for a Shamrock Rovers win.
St. Patricks (49%) vs Waterford (25%)
The Probability of a Draw between St. Patricks and Waterford is 26%
The Probability of a Home win for St. Patricks is 49%
The Probability of an Away win for Waterford is 25%
St. Patricks (1.39xG) vs Waterford (0.6xG)
Going for St. Pats win
Longford (42%) vs Finn Harps (30%)
The Probability of a Draw between Longford and Finn Harps is 28%
The number of sim home wins for Longford is = 5
The number of sim away wins for Finn Harps is = 3
The number of sim draw is = 2
Longford (0.86xG) vs Finn Harps (1.06xG)
Going for a draw in this one
Derry City (25%) vs Dundalk (49%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Dundalk is 25%
The number of sim home wins for Derry City is = 1
The number of sim away wins for Dundalk is = 8
The number of sim draw is = 1
Derry City (0.86xG) vs Dundalk (0.84xG)
Dundalk win in this case.
Bohemians (39%) vs Sligo Rovers (31%)
The Probability of a Draw between Bohemians and Sligo Rovers is 29%
The number of sim home wins for Bohemians is = 3
The number of sim away wins for Sligo Rovers is = 4
The number of sim draw is = 3
Bohemians (0.35xG) vs Sligo Rovers (1.09xG)
Going for a draw here.