Miguel PdL

Match day 27 ( previous set of matches) had a few more matches than I had originally anticipated, given the catch up with the matches that didn’t get played due to the great European runs, but look I covered 5 of the matches and out of the 5, just 1 prediction came through. Wow things are getting worse by the week.

Running total is 55 correct predictions out of 123 predictions made so far this season in the LOI. 

Let’s move to match day 28.

Waterford (50%) vs Drogheda (25%)
The Probability of a Draw between Waterford and Drogheda is 24%

Waterford (0.86xG) vs Drogheda (0.89xG)

First up the mighty Blues, and they need to be out for revenge given that last time they meet in the RSC. The prediction here is a Blues win.

Derry City (66%) vs Longford (13%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Longford is 20%

Derry City (1.38xG) vs Longford (0.78xG)

Longford have had a bounce back, but putting this down for a Derry win.

Dundalk (59%) vs Sligo Rovers (17%)
The Probability of a Draw between Dundalk and Sligo Rovers is 23%

Dundalk (1.65xG) vs Sligo Rovers (1.34xG)

Now on the other side Dundalk have not been on much of a bounce back, but the prediction machine is indicating a Dundalk win, and so a home win for Dundalk will have to called.

Bohemians (58%) vs Finn Harps (16%)
The Probability of a Draw between Bohemians and Finn Harps is 25%

Bohemians (1.85xG) vs Finn Harps (1.03xG)

So Bohs have a few matches this game week and on this first one its a Bohs predicted win.

St. Patricks (33%) vs Shamrock Rovers (38%)
The Probability of a Draw between St. Patricks and Shamrock Rovers is 29%

St. Patricks (1.51xG) vs Shamrock Rovers (1.56xG)

Top of the table clash, looks like a draw, smells like a draw, will call a DRAW.

Bohemians (26%) vs Dundalk (47%)
The Probability of a Draw between Bohemians and Dundalk is 26%

Bohemians (1.85xG) vs Dundalk (1.32xG)

This is one match Blues fans will be watching very intently, and hoping for a Bohs win, and the prediction machine sayes …… Dundalk win ….. no way have to go for the Bohs win here !

This will have to be a quick one.

Results from match day 26 was 2 results out of 4.

Running total is 54 correct predictions out of 118 predictions made so far this season in the LOI. 

Derry City (61%) vs Finn Harps (15%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Finn Harps is 23%

Derry City (1.19xG) vs Finn Harps (1.17xG)

Derry for the win

Drogheda (32%) vs Bohemians (41%)
The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Bohemians is 27%

Drogheda (1.21xG) vs Bohemians (1.51xG)

Looks like a draw.

Sligo Rovers (36%) vs St. Patricks (35%)
The Probability of a Draw between Sligo Rovers and St. Patricks is 29%

Sligo Rovers (1.37xG) vs St. Patricks (1.37xG)

Looks like another draw.

Shamrock Rovers (61%) vs Waterford (15%)
The Probability of a Draw between Shamrock Rovers and Waterford is 22%

Shamrock Rovers (1.76xG) vs Waterford (0.74xG)

Rovers win as they head for the league title

Longford (10%) vs Dundalk (70%)
The Probability of a Draw between Longford and Dundalk is 17%

Longford (0.75xG) vs Dundalk (1.20xG)

A Dundalk win for this one.

Had a little breather from the predictions and delighted to see the Blues still in the cup with a tastie tie up against UCD in the cup next.

Back to the league and the predictions from match day 25 was 1 correct prediction out of the 4 matches. Some shook results in there for Harps and Derry.

Running total is 52 correct predictions out of 114 predictions made so far this season in the LOI. 

So to match day 26 and only 4 matches this weekend too, and the predictions are.

Waterford (22%) vs Dundalk (54%)
The Probability of a Draw between Waterford and Dundalk is 24%

Waterford (0.85xG) vs Dundalk (1.23xG)

I have tickets for this match and it should be a close run game given the position of both teams, and the prediction machine is giving it to Dundalk on a couple of factors, but my heart will have to overrule here. An in person roar I believe will push towards a Blues win.

St. Patricks (69%) vs Longford (10%)
The Probability of a Draw between St. Patricks and Longford is 18%

St. Patricks (1.47xG) vs Longford (0.78xG)

In this one St. Pats need to get back to winning ways and may be lucky for them here’s a fixture against Longford , prediction is a St. Pats win

Drogheda (31%) vs Sligo Rovers (42%)
The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Sligo Rovers is 26%

Drogheda (1.22xG) vs Sligo Rovers (1.35xG)

The Drogs have held their own on the return to the Premier Division and will prove to be a tough test for a Sligo team that have also done well, but happen to have ups and downs. The predictions are edging towards a Sligo win in one way, and towards Drogs in another, and so I’ll go for the Draw.

Finn Harps (14%) vs Shamrock Rovers (62%)
The Probability of a Draw between Finn Harps and Shamrock Rovers is 24%

Finn Harps (1.33xG) vs Shamrock Rovers (1.67xG)

Finally we get to the Harps against Rovers, with Harps having a good win last time out, but Rovers are going for the league and so a Rovers win here.