Miguel PdL

A short sharp look back at match day 24 and we see just 2 correct predictions. Well it wasn’t a wash out but still not that great either.

Running total is 51 correct predictions out of 110 predictions made so far this season in the LOI. 

Match day 25 for this week and the quick predictions will be

Dundalk (70%) vs Drogheda (10%)
The Probability of a Draw between Dundalk and Drogheda is 15%

Dundalk (1.59xG) vs Drogheda (0.85xG)

First up we have a local derby in Louth with the prediction going for a Dundalk win here. A little surprise after the result from last week, but let’s see.

Waterford (60%) vs Longford (17%)
The Probability of a Draw between Waterford and Longford is 22%

Waterford (0.80xG) vs Longford (0.76xG)

This is a big match for the Blues in so many ways and the prediction is a Waterford win … go on the Blues.

Finn Harps (19%) vs St. Patricks (55%)
The Probability of a Draw between Finn Harps and St. Patricks is 26%

Finn Harps (1.33xG) vs St. Patricks (1.42xG)

St. Pats are still chasing the leaders and for this match the prediction is an away win for St. Pats.

Sligo Rovers (42%) vs Derry City (30%)
The Probability of a Draw between Sligo Rovers and Derry City is 28%

Sligo Rovers (1.36xG) vs Derry City (0.9xG)

Last on the list for this week and the prediction here is for a draw.

Another week another set of predictions and with a look back to match day 23 I had the pleasure of getting tickets for the Waterford vs Bohs match in which the prediction came through, a well earned and deserved 1 – 0 win for the Blues.

Elsewhere the system predicted 2 of the other 4 results to give a total of 3 out of 5 this week past.

Running total is 49 correct predictions out of 105 predictions made so far this season in the LOI. 

On towards match day 25 and we have a full schedule of games with the Blues game up first.

St. Patricks (54%) vs Waterford (21%)
The Probability of a Draw between St. Patricks and Waterford is 24%

St. Patricks (1.47xG) vs Waterford (0.74xG)

I’m afraid to say the system is not showing a continuation of the Blues revival in this one, and so will have to go for the St. pats win.

Longford (40%) vs Finn Harps (31%)
The Probability of a Draw between Longford and Finn Harps is 28%

Longford (0.71xG) vs Finn Harps (1.11xG)

The system is throwing up a surprise here and going for a Longford win, and with Finn Harps playing so well last week I wonder, but going against the prediction and aiming for a draw here.

Drogheda (19%) vs Shamrock Rovers (56%)
The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Shamrock Rovers is 24%

Drogheda (1.3xG) vs Shamrock Rovers (1.65xG)

I wonder of the Europa win will have an impact, but predicting a Rovers win

Bohemians (40%) vs Sligo Rovers (31%)
The Probability of a Draw between Bohemians and Sligo Rovers is 29%

Bohemians (1.63xG) vs Sligo Rovers (1.35xG)

A bit of a shock for Sligo last week, and with Bohs maybe on a low ebb after the European game I think a draw will happen here.

Derry City (26%) vs Dundalk (48%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Dundalk is 25%

Derry City (1.22xG) vs Dundalk (1.32xG)

This will be an import result for the Blues fans to watch out for and the prediction is a Dundalk away win.

A shortened set of fixtures to review from match day 22, and the system got 2 predictions correct out of the 3 matches, and of all the ones I didn’t back the Blues as a Blues win was against the odds, so glad to see them win but not great for a weekend clean sweep.

Running total is 46 correct predictions out of 100 predictions made so far this season in the LOI. And easy to see a 46% success rate with the predictions, which doesn’t look great, but it’s certainly picked up from the start of the season.

Anyway on to match day 23.

Derry City (55%) vs Drogheda (21%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Drogheda is 23%

Derry City (1.13xG) vs Drogheda (0.85xG)

Derry are on a bit of a roll, and looks like a Derry win here.

Waterford (37%) vs Bohemians (35%)
The Probability of a Draw between Waterford and Bohemians is 28%

Waterford (0.78xG) vs Bohemians (1.68xG)

I have tickets to go see this match Saturday so more than anything hoping to see a Blues win. And surprising enough the system is predicting one too, so will go with the home win for Waterford.

Sligo Rovers (61%) vs Finn Harps (15%)
The Probability of a Draw between Sligo Rovers and Finn Harps is 24%

Sligo Rovers (1.29xG) vs Finn Harps (1.1xG)

Heading for a Sligo win here.

Dundalk (54%) vs St. Patricks (21%)
The Probability of a Draw between Dundalk and St. Patricks is 24%

Dundalk (1.57xG) vs St. Patricks (1.44xG)

Indicators here are for a Dundalk win, which would be a hammer blow to St. Pat’s (for the league) given the defeat last week.

Shamrock Rovers (74%) vs Longford (7%)
The Probability of a Draw between Shamrock Rovers and Longford is 15%

Shamrock Rovers (1.51xG) vs Longford (0.78xG)

Can Longford pull off a shock result this weekend, all the indicators say ….. nope, thi should be a Rovers win.