As I go into match day 4, a review of match day 3 reveals that I got, or should I start to say the system got, 1 result correct that was the Sligo Rovers win. While I hedged against them at the weekend it was good to see Waterford FC pick up their first points of the season.
The running tally so far after 14 games is 2 correct predictions, a 14% hit rate so far ….. terrible. Top of a local prediction league is 8 out of 14 so a bit to go there to catch up.
For match day 4 here are the predictions
St. Patricks (47%) vs Derry City (26%)
The Probability of a Draw between St. Patricks and Derry City is 26%
So calling a St. Pats win
Dundalk (62%) vs Bohemians (15%)
The Probability of a Draw between Dundalk and Bohemians is 22%
Dundalk have had a shaky start to the season, but will go for the Dundalk win.
Finn Harps (24%) vs Waterford (49%)
The Probability of a Draw between Finn Harps and Waterford is 27%
Finn Harps are flying it but the system is saying a Waterford win, so will go for the Waterford to win scenario and make up for last week.
Longford (36%) vs Drogheda (38%)
The Probability of a Draw between Longford and Drogheda is 25%
This is very close looks like it could be a draw.
Sligo Rovers (28%) vs Shamrock Rovers (43%)
The Probability of a Draw between Sligo Rovers and Shamrock Rovers is 29%
Dare I say a clash at the top of the table, and will go for a Rovers win …… Shamrock Rovers.
There’s an extra game this week
Derry City (29%) vs Shamrock Rovers (43%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers is 28%
And looks to be another Shamrock Rovers win to really put them top of the table. Now in truth I called this already as a draw a week or so back, but I’m going for Rovers win now.