We start with a quick review and find that there’s 3 out of 5 for match day 18. I really didn’t see that Sligo Rovers result coming through, while the system did, but then the system didn’t manage to really define the draws soooooo.
Running total of 37 out of 84 predictions over the season so far.
We will now move over the half way point of matches in the LOI, so another small challenge is to better the first half
So for match day 19 we will call
Drogheda (51%) vs Finn Harps (23%)
The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Finn Harps is 25%
Drogheda (1.26xG) vs Finn Harps (1.22xG)
Going for a Drogheda win here, and maybe give a helping hand to the Blues to catch the Harps in the league table.
Derry City (49%) vs Waterford (26%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Waterford is 25%
Derry City (1.06xG) vs Waterford (0.68xG)
While Waterford grabbed a win here earlier in the season, this systems model is still giving it as a Derry win, and with little to suggest a draw, I will have t go for the Derry win here.
Bohemians (35%) vs St. Patricks (36%)
The Probability of a Draw between Bohemians and St. Patricks is 29%
Bohemians (1.63xG) vs St. Patricks (1.50xG)
This has draw written all over it, a draw it will be.
Shamrock Rovers (39%) vs Dundalk (33%)
The Probability of a Draw between Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk is 28%
Shamrock Rovers (1.5xG) vs Dundalk (1.37xG)
The system is pointing at another draw here, I’ll go for it, but more than likely a narrow Rovers win, but no calling it a draw.
Longford (22%) vs Sligo Rovers (52%)
The Probability of a Draw between Longford and Sligo Rovers is 25%
Longford (0.68xG) vs Sligo Rovers (1.25xG)
Finally we will go for a win for Sligo Rovers here with a score of 1 -2 to the bit O’Red.