Match day 14 is behind me and the view in the rear view mirror is 3 out of 5, with the machine predicting a Derry win and I just went against it ……. I have to stop doing that.
The running total is 26 out of 64
Okay for Match day 15 the machine is predicting the following;
Derry City (43%) vs Bohemians (29%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Bohemians is 28%
The number of sim home wins for Derry City is = 6
The number of sim away wins for Bohemians is = 4
The number of sim draw is = 0
Derry City (1.04xG) vs Bohemians (1.46xG)
I have to go with the machine and sign off on a Derry City win
Dundalk (66%) vs Waterford (13%)
The Probability of a Draw between Dundalk and Waterford is 19%
The number of sim home wins for Dundalk is = 9
The number of sim away wins for Waterford is = 1
The number of sim draw is = 0
Dundalk (1.55xG) vs Waterford (0.65xG)
Here’s a win for Dundalk …… and looking like a relegation year for the Blues.
Shamrock Rovers (72%) vs Finn Harps (8%)
The Probability of a Draw between Shamrock Rovers and Finn Harps is 18%
The number of sim home wins for Shamrock Rovers is = 8
The number of sim away wins for Finn Harps is = 2
The number of sim draw is = 0
Shamrock Rovers (1.86xG) vs Finn Harps (1.35xG)
Looks like a Rovers win
Longford (18%) vs St. Patricks (58%)
The Probability of a Draw between Longford and St. Patricks is 23%
The number of sim home wins for Longford is = 4
The number of sim away wins for St. Patricks is = 3
The number of sim draw is = 3
Longford (0.69xG) vs St. Patricks (1.4xG)
Predicting a St. Pats win here.
Sligo Rovers (54%) vs Drogheda (21%)
The Probability of a Draw between Sligo Rovers and Drogheda is 24%
The number of sim home wins for Sligo Rovers is = 4
The number of sim away wins for Drogheda is = 2
The number of sim draw is = 4
Sligo Rovers (1.03xG) vs Drogheda (0.84xG)
A Sligo win to stay top of the table.