This is a painful post as I have to admit I missed the opportunity to make any predictions before the Matchday 13 games kicked off and so I’m left to compare what the prediction would have been … and side by side to the actual result.
Before I get into that from matchday 12 there were 2 correct out of the 5 making it a running total of 23 out of 59.
So to the rubber that is matchday 13, with predictions and results.
Bohemians (24%) vs Dundalk (49%)
The Probability of a Draw between Bohemians and Dundalk is 26%
So I would have gone for a Dundalk win and the score was ….. Bohemians 5 – 1 Dundalk. So way off there.
Next up
Derry City (36%) vs St. Patricks (36%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and St. Patricks is 28%
System looks to be a draw and the result Derry City 2 – 2 St. Patricks. A draw so on the money here
Waterford (57%) vs Finn Harps (18%)
The Probability of a Draw between Waterford and Finn Harps is 24%
The Blues for a predicted win. The result was Waterford 1 – 2 Finn Harps. Waterford played very well in the 1st half but Finn Harps came on strong in the 2nd.
Drogheda (54%) vs Longford (22%)
The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Longford is 23%
So a Drogs win predicated and the result was Drogheda 4 – 1 Longford, so a good win all around.
Finally
Shamrock Rovers (55%) vs Sligo Rovers (19%)
The Probability of a Draw between Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers is 26%
So a clear Rovers (SHA) win predicted and the final results Shamrock Rovers 0 – 1 Sligo Rovers. Well there’s a turn up for the books a whole load of ways around, although then again sounds like it was well deserved. Sligo for the league by the looks of things now !!!