Starting to bomb out on these predictions, 1 out of 4 last week, and could have been close on two of the match, but it is what it is.
Running total is 21 out of 54.
This weeks predictions, we will start again with Waterford, under new management.
Waterford (40%) vs Derry City (33%)
The Probability of a Draw between Waterford and Derry City is 27%
The number of sim home wins for Waterford is = 3
The number of sim away wins for Derry City is = 4
The number of sim draw is = 3
Waterford (0.62xG) vs Derry City (0.68xG)
All indications here are for a draw ….. I’ll go with the draw and maybe hope that new management spur the Blues towards a real win.
St. Patricks (48%) vs Bohemians (23%)
The Probability of a Draw between St. Patricks and Bohemians is 28%
The number of sim home wins for St. Patricks is = 4
The number of sim away wins for Bohemians is = 5
The number of sim draw is = 1
St. Patricks (1.51xG) vs Bohemians (1.45xG)
Now I went all gun hoo with St. Pats last week and they lost badly, and there will be goals in this match, and I’ll stick with the St. Pats win.
Dundalk (45%) vs Shamrock Rovers (27%)
The Probability of a Draw between Dundalk and Shamrock Rovers is 27%
The number of sim home wins for Dundalk is = 6
The number of sim away wins for Shamrock Rovers is = 2
The number of sim draw is = 2
Dundalk (1.66xG) vs Shamrock Rovers (1.36xG)
Ahhh the data is messing with me now, all pointers are to a Dundalk win …. it can’t be, I’m going against the grain here and will predict a draw (dare I say based on the xG).
Finn Harps (34%) vs Drogheda (38%)
The Probability of a Draw between Finn Harps and Drogheda is 28%
The number of sim home wins for Finn Harps is = 5
The number of sim away wins for Drogheda is = 2
The number of sim draw is = 3
Finn Harps (1.14xG) vs Drogheda (0.76xG)
Fair play to the Drogs they’ve really embedded themselves into the season well, and Finn Harps have tipped away nicely nothing much between these teams and so will plum for a draw.
Sligo Rovers (63%) vs Longford (14%)
The Probability of a Draw between Sligo Rovers and Longford is 21%
The number of sim home wins for Sligo Rovers is = 6
The number of sim away wins for Longford is = 2
The number of sim draw is = 2
Sligo Rovers (0.94xG) vs Longford (0.74xG)
Nice bit of news about the new stadium for Sligo and I’ll go for win for Sligo here too.