First up news of the week in LOI has to be the dismissal of Kevin Sheedy from Waterford FC. I think the writing was on the wall from early on, dare I say before the season even started. Back to the drawing board for Waterford. Before making a prediction on their game, and the four others for matchday 10, a review of match day 9 shows a 3 out of 5 result, with two draws called correctly.
The running total is 20 correct results out of 45.
Now to the predictions for matchday 10
Derry City (64%) vs Longford (14%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Longford is 20%
The number of sim home wins for Derry City is = 8
The number of sim away wins for Longford is = 1
The number of sim draw is = 1
Derry City (1.0xG) vs Longford (0.78xG)
I went for a Derry win last week and it didn’t work out, but the predictions are aiming towards a Derry win again here, and so we stay with the Derry win (predicted)
Dundalk (61%) vs Sligo Rovers (16%)
The Probability of a Draw between Dundalk and Sligo Rovers is 22%
The number of sim home wins for Dundalk is = 5
The number of sim away wins for Sligo Rovers is = 2
The number of sim draw is = 3
Dundalk (1.41xG) vs Sligo Rovers (1.42xG)
Sligo are scoring away from home (xG) and these two teams had a draw on the opening day of the season. Data says Dundalk win, the heart says draw, but will go for the Dundalk win.
Waterford (55%) vs Drogheda (21%)
The Probability of a Draw between Waterford and Drogheda is 23%
The number of sim home wins for Waterford is = 6
The number of sim away wins for Drogheda is = 2
The number of sim draw is = 2
Waterford (0.62xG) vs Drogheda (0.76xG)
This will be a tight game again, well mainly a 0-0 type match, but the data is pointing towards a Waterford FC win, and we all need some cheering up, so a Waterford win in this one.
Bohemians (58%) vs Finn Harps (16%)
The Probability of a Draw between Bohemians and Finn Harps is 26%
The number of sim home wins for Bohemians is = 3
The number of sim away wins for Finn Harps is = 3
The number of sim draw is = 4
Bohemians (1.38xG) vs Finn Harps (1.26xG)
I’m going to call a draw in this one, the simmed matches and xG are indicating a draw and Finn Harps are tipping along nicely and I cannot push for the Bohs win, so a draw it will be.
St. Patricks (33%) vs Shamrock Rovers (38%)
The Probability of a Draw between St. Patricks and Shamrock Rovers is 29%
The number of sim home wins for St. Patricks is = 2
The number of sim away wins for Shamrock Rovers is = 4
The number of sim draw is = 4
St. Patricks (1.59xG) vs Shamrock Rovers (1.23xG)
And finally to the top of the table clash and this has a draw written all over it, and so another draw.