Blog of Random Thoughts and Pictures

LOI Matchday 14 Predictions

May 27th, 2021

Matchday 14 and all to play for as I’m now really just looking for a clean sweep weekend somewhere in the prediction chain.

Can Sligo keep the momentum going.

Finn Harps (23%) vs Sligo Rovers (49%)
The Probability of a Draw between Finn Harps and Sligo Rovers is 28%

The number of sim home wins for Finn Harps is = 2
The number of sim away wins for Sligo Rovers is = 7
The number of sim draw is = 1

Finn Harps (1.2xG) vs Sligo Rovers (1.35xG)

A prediction of another Sligo Rovers win here, they’d be on a roll !!!

Drogheda (32%) vs Derry City (42%)
The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Derry City is 25%

The number of sim home wins for Drogheda is = 3
The number of sim away wins for Derry City is = 6
The number of sim draw is = 1

Drogheda (1.18xG) vs Derry City (0.68xG)

Okay data is two – one in favour of Derry, but I just don’t like the look of Derry’s xG. I’m going for a Drogs win again.

St. Patricks (30%) vs Dundalk (43%)
The Probability of a Draw between St. Patricks and Dundalk is 27%

The number of sim home wins for St. Patricks is = 2
The number of sim away wins for Dundalk is = 5
The number of sim draw is = 3

St. Patricks (1.44xG) vs Dundalk (1.4xG)

Will predict this as a draw.

Bohemians (45%) vs Waterford (27%)
The Probability of a Draw between Bohemians and Waterford is 27%

The number of sim home wins for Bohemians is = 2
The number of sim away wins for Waterford is = 5
The number of sim draw is = 3

Bohemians (1.59xG) vs Waterford (0.66xG)

So a Bohs win here ….. sorry Blues fans.

And finally

Longford (13%) vs Shamrock Rovers (65%)
The Probability of a Draw between Longford and Shamrock Rovers is 21%

The number of sim home wins for Longford is = 1
The number of sim away wins for Shamrock Rovers is = 7
The number of sim draw is = 2

Longford (0.70xG) vs Shamrock Rovers (1.42xG)

The Rovers will get back into this title race.