Blog of Random Thoughts and Pictures

LOI Matchday 9 Predictions

May 2nd, 2021

It’s getting harder to keep up with all the matches happening in the LOI, but at least match day 8 (in review) was a good one as another 4 predictions out of 5 were on the button. Although I was way off the the one that was incorrect with Bohs getting beaten by Derry City, could anyone have seen that coming ?

The running total is 17 out of 40.

Now in to match day 9 predictions.

Drogheda (32%) vs Bohemians (41%)
The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Bohemians is 27%

The number of sim home wins for Drogheda is = 2
The number of sim away wins for Bohemians is = 6
The number of sim draw is = 2

Drogheda (1.12xG) vs Bohemians (1.45xG)

This is too close to call and so going for a draw.

Shamrock Rovers (58%) vs Waterford (18%)
The Probability of a Draw between Shamrock Rovers and Waterford is 24%

The number of sim home wins for Shamrock Rovers is = 3
The number of sim away wins for Waterford is = 6
The number of sim draw is = 1

Shamrock Rovers (2.09xG) vs Waterford (0.62xG)

The sim matches are playing tricks with me, but the call here has to be a Shamrock Rovers win

Longford (11%) vs Dundalk (69%)
The Probability of a Draw between Longford and Dundalk is 17%

The number of sim home wins for Longford is = 2
The number of sim away wins for Dundalk is = 7
The number of sim draw is = 1

Longford (0.77xG) vs Dundalk (1.2xG)

Dundalk are on a roll now and I’ll take them for a win in this one.

Sligo Rovers (36%) vs St. Patricks (35%)
The Probability of a Draw between Sligo Rovers and St. Patricks is 29%

The number of sim home wins for Sligo Rovers is = 4
The number of sim away wins for St. Patricks is = 4
The number of sim draw is = 2

Sligo Rovers (0.89xG) vs St. Patricks (0.90xG)

This is looking like a draw and will call it for a draw.

Derry City (61%) vs Finn Harps (15%)
The Probability of a Draw between Derry City and Finn Harps is 23%

The number of sim home wins for Derry City is = 6
The number of sim away wins for Finn Harps is = 2
The number of sim draw is = 2

Derry City (0.83xG) vs Finn Harps (1.08xG)

I wonder is Finn Harps early season bubble about to burst with Derry catching them ? All the pointers are towards a Derry City win so will go for a Derry win.