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LOI Matchday 8 Predictions

April 30th, 2021

Match day 7 review and a 4 predictions out of 5 is pretty decent this time around, the league must be settling down now.

The running total is 13 out of 35.

Now in to match day 8 predictions.

St. Patricks (68%) vs Longford (11%)
The Probability of a Draw between St. Patricks and Longford is 18%

The number of sim home wins for St. Patricks is = 9
The number of sim away wins for Longford is = 0
The number of sim draw is = 1

St. Patricks (1.72xG) vs Longford (0.81xG)

Going for a St. Pats win here

Drogheda (30%) vs Sligo Rovers (43%)
The Probability of a Draw between Drogheda and Sligo Rovers is 26%

The number of sim home wins for Drogheda is = 0
The number of sim away wins for Sligo Rovers is = 5
The number of sim draw is = 5

Drogheda (1.11xG) vs Sligo Rovers (1.24xG)

Taking it as a draw for this one

Bohemians (40%) vs Derry City (31%)
The Probability of a Draw between Bohemians and Derry City is 28%

The number of sim home wins for Bohemians is = 6
The number of sim away wins for Derry City is = 2
The number of sim draw is = 2

Bohemians (0.97xG) vs Derry City (0.40xG)

Going for a narrow win for Bohs on this one.

Waterford (24%) vs Dundalk (51%)
The Probability of a Draw between Waterford and Dundalk is 24%

The number of sim home wins for Waterford is = 1
The number of sim away wins for Dundalk is = 8
The number of sim draw is = 1

Waterford (0.58xG) vs Dundalk (1.11xG)

Ahh hate saying this but looking like a Dundalk win

Finn Harps (14%) vs Shamrock Rovers (61%)
The Probability of a Draw between Finn Harps and Shamrock Rovers is 24%

The number of sim home wins for Finn Harps is = 0
The number of sim away wins for Shamrock Rovers is = 8
The number of sim draw is = 2

Finn Harps (1.16xG) vs Shamrock Rovers (1.17xG)

The xG is pointing at a draw, and Finn Harps have started well, but will go for the Rovers win in this one.